Thu, 27 Sep 2007
Rationing
Rationing is a completely irrational response to
a shortage. Rationing is predicated on the assumption that it's fair
for everyone to have the same allocation of a resource.
Nations typically behave towards each other like toddlers.
Within a nation, the politicians seem to treat citizens like children,
where every child gets an equal sized piece of cake.
I'm not a child. Neither are you. None of us are (except our
children, of course). Giving each of us identicaly sized pieces of
cake ignores all sorts of issues. For example, we are carbon-based
lifeforms. Some of us are bigger than others, are comprised of more
carbon, and need more carbon to live. Or for example, some of us use
our carbon to reduce our carbon emissions. I own 225 acres of land.
It has a growing forest which is pulling carbon out of the air. I'm a
hero -- shouldn't I get a higher carbon allowance? What if I can
consume (emit) carbon dioxide (in the form of fossil fuels) to
optimize my carbon consumption (in the form of woody growth)? How
does the carbon ration account for this? Particularly in the UK where
land ownership is far more class-based than in the US.
An equal share is not obviously fair; not at all.
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Bob Frankston
If you know Bob Frankston, you will agree with my comments to him:
You are an extremely perceptive individual, Bob. You can look at
something and immediately cut through all the crap. The rest of us
can't do that. You need to spend more time leading the rest of us
past the crap. Otherwise, in your lightning path to the correct
solution, the rest of us get scraped off in the crap. And let me tell
you, sitting in crap is no fun.
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Game Theory
I'm dubious of the value of game theory to economics. Games have winners
and losers. Markets have participants. Free market only have winners; the
would-be or potential losers choose not to play.
I'm simplying, of course, glossing over the existance of human error.
People who think they're going to win will lose, but they do so only
because they've made a mistake. Perfect markets are not an option, as
any economist will readily acknowledge.
So where does the idea of "perfect markets" come from? Economists
must use thought experiments to create theories about how markets
work. One of these experiments is the perfect market; one without
human error, without transaction costs, and where every participant
has equal knowledge. Another experiment is the unchanging market; one
without growth, decay, decisions, or any other number of human values.
Within these simplifications, you can say what a market will do.
Of what value is that in the real world? It helps economists to say
what will tend to happen at the margin. If transaction costs are
lowered, markets will behave more like perfect markets. If human
error can be reduced (hey, at great cost, we did it for the Apollo
missions), markets will behave more perfectly. If real markets then
turn out to behave differently, the theory is wrong, and the economist
goes back to the drawing board.
Unfortunately, undergraduates have been imperfectly taught about
perfect markets, and you can see the results.
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Government vs. Monopolies
If you're looking to governments to save you from monopolies, you're
asking the devil for salvation. A government is itself a monopoly on
the creation of violence. Why would you expect one monopoly to be
hostile a priori to other monopolies?
The theory is that a government is controlled by its citizens.
However, control over the government is a public good. Like all
public goods, it is underproduced.
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Mon, 24 Sep 2007
Nevermind the Bleating
Nevermind the bleating of the leftists. Americans are doing much
better than 30 years ago. Can anybody deny it? Just look at Clarkson University. They've doubled the size of the Quad parking lot, and the Pit parking lot. Now they're building another parking
lot in the useless curvey space between the Pit and the Quad. The cars they're
parking in that lot all have cruise control, power windows, power brakes,
radials, and rack-and-pinion steering. Back when I was in Clarkson 30 years ago, cars with those features were considered luxury cars. Now? Meh, those
features are all standard.
Yet the Krugmans of the world think we're no better off. Does anybody
honestly think he's an economist? Can't we get MIT to say "Oops, sorry,
Paul, can we have that PhD back?"
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Ride starting Sun Sep 23 17:35:56 2007
4.90 km 16063.54 feet 3.04 mi
1961.00 seconds 32.68 minutes 0.54 hours 5.59 mi/hr
Went for a short proof of concept ride. I had earlier tried to enter
the railbed straight from NY Route 3. There's a nice entrance there,
with a culvert and reflectors, but it was too weedy, so I turned back (not
recorded on this map). I went around to the dirt road and rode along it to
see if it got less weedy. Indeed, after a ways I found that the railbed
was very open and ridable. At least, the western end of this ride was open.
It got gradually less and less open, until I ran into a beaver dam. Gave up
and bushwhacked back to the dirt road. Gonna come back some day and
try riding it west of the west end of this ride.

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Ride starting Sun Sep 23 15:45:25 2007
8.10 km 26568.68 feet 5.03 mi
4771.00 seconds 79.52 minutes 1.33 hours 3.80 mi/hr
This ride was on a branch of the Grasse River Railroad. It's a
logging railroad in the northwest Adirondacks, with many side branch
tracks. This one has been reused as NY Route 3 from the Grasse River crossing
to the curve just east of the northern end of my bike ride. At that point,
the railbed has been reused as a bicycle / hiking / snowmobile trail. I was
able to ride the railbed to the very end, or as near as I could tell. It
forks, and the east-heading fork is very obvious, but the south-facing
fork is very NOT obvious.

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Ride starting Sun Sep 23 11:05:43 2007
35.30 km 115806.97 feet 21.93 mi
11192.00 seconds 186.53 minutes 3.11 hours 7.05 mi/hr
Went exploring old
railroads. This one went from Childwold Station through Conifer
and almost up to Pierrepont. Portions of it are still being used as
roads, in particular the portion that I rode today, from Conifer
to the Grasse River crossing. The bridge is out over the Grasse River,
so the railbed is completely overgrown between there and NY Route 3.
Also explored several branch lines. Immediately to the west of Conifer
is a branch line to the south. It's overgrown and hard to follow, but there
are obvious rotted ties. Much further to the west I went about a mile
south on a branch line. It has old ties buried in the road. I also found
a branch just past that heading north. It isn't listed in Railroads of the Adirondacks,
so I sent Michael Kudish a note about it.
I also explored the continuation of that line where it branches
three ways at NY Route 3. One branch follows NY3 (or vice versa)
and then heads away south. I was able to ride to the end of
that branch. The north branch goes through a huge logging landing,
and becomes a lightly used logging road. I went down it a little ways,
and turned back when it started to get brushy, but it wasn't worth making a map.
The middle is the main line, continued west of NY3.

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Thu, 20 Sep 2007
Ride starting Thu Sep 20 13:21:09 2007
19.12 km 62743.97 feet 11.88 mi
5844.00 seconds 97.40 minutes 1.62 hours 7.32 mi/hr
Two rides today, sort-of. Drove down to Barstow's to get the car's
check engine light looked at. Went for a bike ride up on
Clarkson's hill campus. They have some nice single-track trails.
Got back 1/2 hour after they were supposed to have looked at the car.
Unfortunately, they hadn't even gotten to it. So I bicycled home.

Ride starting Thu Sep 20 16:06:12 2007
7.32 km 24001.46 feet 4.55 mi
1353.00 seconds 22.55 minutes 0.38 hours 12.10 mi/hr
Called them at 4PM to see if they were done. Yep. One code: Evap, which
means that somebody didn't tighten the gas cap. Doh! $11 later and
everything is fixed. Rode into town to pick up the car. Nice speed.
Not windy per se, but it was upwind, even.

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Ride starting Wed Sep 19 14:29:24 2007
41.97 km 137694.37 feet 26.08 mi
10805.00 seconds 180.08 minutes 3.00 hours 8.69 mi/hr
Went for a ride on the old NYC Carthage branch. The trail starts right
in downtown Carthage, one block from the existing railroad. It heads
northwest, and crosses route 3 after about two miles. Unfortunately,
it runs into a railroad bridge which has no deck, and which has been
reused to carry a National Grid gas pipeline across the river. I had to
backtrack and cross the river to West Carthage.
Went down to the next road and got onto the railbed. Except for a
short section east of Felts Mills, and west of Great Bend, where the
railbed is grown over, the trail follows the railbed. Previously,
I rode from just east of Watertown to Felts Mills.

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Mon, 17 Sep 2007
Ride starting Sun Sep 16 15:01:36 2007
52.73 km 172988.66 feet 32.76 mi
14147.00 seconds 235.78 minutes 3.93 hours 8.34 mi/hr
Went for a nice long ride today. Bit sore on the knee at the end.
And the butt. And the hands. Clearly my endurance has suffered from my
two-month hiatus. Went on the Lost Nation Forest road north of Brookdale.
Loking for the eastern end of Trudell Road. Earlier I had gone down
Trudell Road until it ran into
wetland. Clearly the road used to go all the way through to 420, but
there's little sign that it did.
Cut over in the direction of Brasher Center, but ducked down a dirt road
because I'd never gone that way before. I'll have to try that ride again,
to see if it's possible to walk across the old bridge across the
St. Regis River at Brasher Center.
Came back through Brasher Falls. Stopped for some ice cream at the
Stewart's in Winthrop. Hit the Rutland
Trail after Winthrop. Wasn't too muddy after yesterday's pouring rains.
I think if we can get fill into the deepest puddles, we can keep the ATVs
feet dry so they won't pick up the fill and carry it away.

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Thu, 13 Sep 2007
The Dying of Elephants
Doc Searls laments the dying:
This is why I've lamented the dying not only of local newspapers, but of full-service local radio in most smaller U.S. cities, and the failure thus far of everybody (bloggers, public radio, you name it) to fill the void. Old acts are failing and new acts are not fully together.
Anybody who hopes to benefit from the dying of elephants definitely wants
to not be there during the death, because there can be much thrashing
around and crushing of smaller beings.
Remember: good things happen slowly, bad things happen quickly.
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Wed, 12 Sep 2007
Ride starting Wed Sep 12 15:05:55 2007
17.79 km 58367.20 feet 11.05 mi
10040.00 seconds 167.33 minutes 2.79 hours 3.96 mi/hr
This ride is split into several sections. I wanted to ride as much
of the DeKalb Branch of the NYC as was still ridable. The rails were removed
about twenty-five years ago. Unfortunately, they also sold off the railbed
into individual parcels. Nobody, even in 1982, was thinking "linear park".
Fortunately, they left the steel bridges in place. Unfortunately, some of
the people who now own the railbed have opinions about how it should be used.
The biggest problems, as I see them, are (from north to south):
- Lynn Blevins, 122 Delaney Road, has posted the railbed right behind
his/her house. Presumably because of the noise / dust of ATVs, and noise
of snowmobiles. Or maybe just for privacy reasons. The railbed really is the back fence of their yard.
- Somebody has built a house on the south side of Hutchinson Road, and
are using the railbed as their driveway.
- Going through Heuvelton, the railbed goes very close to businesses and
houses. Between Washington St., and Commerce St., the railbed doesn't
exist anymore.
- Somebody has parked equipment on the north side of McCoy Road.
Perhaps that's just their way of posting the property?
- North of McClure Road, the railbed is somebody's back fence, and
they've built a shed on it.
- The bridge on Dry Bridge Road has been filled in. This is not a
very serious problem, because the railbed can be filled to make a ramp.
But because it's impassable, the railbed has gone to brush.
- Between Town Line Rd and Kelly Rd, the property is posted. I was given
permission to ride on it, and the culvert/bridge has gotten washed out.
It's just a short thing and could be replaced by a couple of culverts and
some fill, but it's work that needs doing.
- Again, as in Heuvelton, the railbed doesn't exist in Renssalaer Falls.
Somebody's built their pool on it at Birch St.
- The bridge just north of Irish Settlement Road has lost its timbers.
Maybe they burned, maybe they rotted away, maybe somebody removed them,
but they need replacement.
- North of Old Canton Rd, the railbed is posted and gated. A neighbor
explained that they've had trespassers cutting wood and jacking deer; hence the
gate.
- South of that seems to have only brush as an impediment.
I found a 1918 80lb rail used as part of a barrier on the trail.
I found mile marker 19 earlier on the paved Maple City Trail portion.
Mile marker 18 has been moved to somebody's front yard on McIntyre Rd.
Here are Mile markers 13 and 10:

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Tue, 11 Sep 2007
IRS and Emperor Palpatine
We pay quarterly estimated taxes because I work for myself. The September
15th payment is due shortly. My clever wife put the Emperor Palpatine
stamp from the USPS Star Wars Series on the envelope the
IRS provides. In spite of the First
Amendment, the IRS punishes you if you write political speech on either
the envelope or enclosed form. I can't see, however, how they could stop
us from choosing a stamp with a motive of political protest!
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Why a unibutton?
Why does the N800 have a unibutton and a hidden button on the top? The
770 had three separate buttons on the top. The left button is now in the
middle on the N800. The rocker switch (press left, press right) is now split
into two buttons, on left and right. The power menu button on the 770 was
arguably too easy to press, so I count the hidden button on the N800 an
improvement.
But to merge the two buttons into one unibutton which is practically
impossible to distinguish?? Why? The only way to distinguish between
the buttons is to slide your finger back and forth a few times, trying to
feel the subtle slope from the left to the middle and back down on the
right. Only then can you take a guess at which button your finger is on.
Going back to the 770's buttons would be an improvement. Let's hope that
the N830 (or whatever) makes that change.
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Thu, 06 Sep 2007
Ride starting Thu Sep 6 18:38:54 2007
18.88 km 61956.20 feet 11.73 mi
3534.00 seconds 58.90 minutes 0.98 hours 11.95 mi/hr
Went into town to drop something off at Lauren's. Knee feels
really good, as long as I don't push it.

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Chordite vs. Twiddler
Johan Helsingius suggests that I compare the Chordite and the Twiddler. There are two possible comparisons:
between concepts and between implementations. So, the concept first.
The Twiddler uses several three keys for each finger, and two keys for
your thumb. Various combinations of these keys generate keystrokes. The
Chordite uses the thumb to hold the keyboard. Since the Chordite keys
are pressed by the knuckles rather than fingertip, each finger may press one or two keys.
In both systems, each finger can generate two bits of information.
Twiddler can press Left, Middle, Right, or no key. Chordite can press
Distal, Medial, Distal and Medial, or no keys. However, the Twiddler
includes two buttons for the thumb, so that makes the chordspace four
times as large. The Chordite makes up for that by providing for sticky
shift, control, and alt prefixes.
The implementations differ because the Twiddler 2 is a USB keyboard,
and my Chordite is bluetooth. Since the Twiddler 3 will be bluetooth,
there's no obvious benefit to the Chordite.
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Wed, 05 Sep 2007
Never use a warning
Aza Raskin writes Never
Use a Warning, in which I count him as agreeing with my assessment of
the Connection Manager's warnings.
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Tue, 04 Sep 2007
Unions and Free Riders
Unions are in a hard place. On the one hand, they need people to
actually be union members and pay union dues. On the other hand, they
want non-union members support the ability of unions to keep them from
working in a union job. So they walk the fine line between bragging
about how unions help labor in general, without mentioning that people
who gain those benefits are free riding off unions.
Posted [14:23] [Filed in:
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Why is there no IP address on the connection menu?
IT2007 has added the signal strength to the connection menu (underneath the 'world' icon on the applets). Yay! But why isn't the IP address listed there
as well? Why do I need to bring up the Connection Manager, and then use its "IP Address" entry to tell me the IP address? It's not like the connection menu is full or anything. It's not even a variable-length menu.
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Mon, 03 Sep 2007
Gold Bugs
I know that some people are gold bugs; I am not one of them. A chief advantage of gold is that it limits the supply of money, making for a constant predictable mild deflation. In a free market society, as each person trades, they increase the total valuable of the tradable items. If you have a fixed amount of gold, and your money is gold receipts, then you will have a small value of deflation, as the same money chases goods worth more and more.
For some reason, people think that deflation -- any deflation -- is bad. They say that when money is deflating, people will hold their money because they know that it will always be worth more the next day. Thus, the economy shuts down because nobody wants to spend their money. That's a great theory, but it neglects the fact that people can get used to anything, including deflation. So yes, their money will be worth more the next day, but so will their money if they invest it. The same incentives apply: don't spend now because you'll have more to spend later.
Yet a fiat currency can work exactly the same way. Keep the amount of the currency fixed, and you'll have a small amount of deflation. Or, you can inflate the currency at the same rate of growth as the economy. The money-maker (the person who prints money and turns bills into money through their promotion of the currency) can earn money at the growth of the economy (which is a tolerable income) by constantly inflating money to keep prices constant. That is one way that a private money-maker could earn a profit on turning pretty pictures into money.
Note, though, that issuers of fiat currency have the weight of law behind them forcing people to accept fiat currency as if valid. Gresham's law applies, and a fiat currency will drive all more valuable money out of the market.
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Ride starting Mon Sep 3 15:58:53 2007
34.42 km 112923.97 feet 21.39 mi
8224.00 seconds 137.07 minutes 2.28 hours 9.36 mi/hr
Went out on the Rutland Trail today.
Knee felt pretty good yesterday on that short three mile ride. Thought I'd
push it for distance today. Weather was beautiful. On the warm side, but
not so very. Average speed still pretty low. Babying the knee. I want to
stress it a little, so the recovering tendon is strong, but I don't want to
risk tearing it again.

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Regulation of Commerce
Dave Rogers makes a few oopsies in his Competing
Messages: Commerce and Sociality posting (Hat tip to Doc
Searls). He asks "What presses back against competitive commerce?"
and then answers his own question saying "Very little, it turns out."
Oops! He misses one thing, which causes the rest of his argument to
tumble to the ground. All this commerce, all this competition exists
for one purpose: to maximize cooperation. Who decides when the level
of cooperation is sufficient? Consumers. Consumers are what pushes
back against commerce. Consumers regulate commerce, continuously in
time and space. If you disagee, try selling something people don't
want. Try selling something when people want something else more.
Dave also thinks that government is not a competitive enterprise.
Oh, no, how wrong! The state governments in the United
States are competitive. There are no legal barriers to prevent you
from moving from one state to another. You can subscribe to any state
government you want, simply by changing your residence. No permits,
no forms, no fees, nothing but the cost of moving your butt from one
place to another. In this manner, the states must compete for
citizens and tax dollars by enacting the most sensible laws.
Of course, we have allowed the federal government to interfere
in this process. We have allowed it to take on tasks it was never
intended to perform, tasks that the Constitution gives it no
permission to perform. For example, the Department of Energy. Or the Department of Education. Mentioned
nowhere in the Constitution. Completely illegal organizations.
And as for Dave's final point -- that commerce corrupts society --
I'd be happy to socialize with him over a beer at the corner pub --
and I'd even buy -- but that would be that awful corrupting commerce,
wouldn't it?
One last point: "This
just in...". Yes, Upstate New York is a beautiful place.
Posted [15:23] [Filed in:
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Sun, 02 Sep 2007
Unions are not completely wrong
Richard C. Iannuzzi, president of the NYSUT (teacher's union) is
not completely wrong when he says:
After all, it's not because of the
kindness, generosity and benevolence of employers that many workers
enjoy benefits such as Saturdays and Sundays off, 40-hour work weeks,
health benefits, paid vacations, a dignified retirement, and safety
rules that protect us on the job..
It's true that employers don't do these things for those reasons.
They do them because they have to. In order to get the employees they
want, they have to pay them more. Worse than that, they have to pay
the employee more than they might be paid in any other
industry. They're not just competing for employees within their
own industry, they're competing for them in every industry. That's
how it is that productivity increases in one industry result in every
other industry having to pay more for labor.
Like everyone else, they have to compete in a free market for
labor. But oh, the point of a union is to not have a free market.
The point is to force employers to employ union members regardless of
their qualifications for the job. So the reality is that unions cause
employers to have a less productive labor component. This can only
result in lower benefits. So rather than praising unions for
getting workers those benefits, we should be damning unions for
getting in the way of workers having even larger benefits.
Posted [23:24] [Filed in:
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Chordite versus CyKey
MJ Ray suggested that I explain how the Chordite differs or is
similar to the CyKey. Well enough! Under "similar" I would put:
chording, unfamiliar, pocketable, one handed, wireless, battery
operated. Under "different", I would say that the CyKey must be used
against a surface whereas the Chordite can be used in mid-air. The
CyKey works well for either hand, whereas the Chordite is handed. The
CyKey uses infrared, which restricts the positioning of the device,
and which restricts the devices that may be used, whereas the Chordite
uses Bluetooth, which is widely supported and doesn't require any
special positioning. The CyKey's infrared is cheaper than bluetooth
if you already have infrared, but is more expensive if you lack it.
With the CyKey, you type with your fingertips, whereas with the
Chordite, you type with your knuckles. With the CyKey your thumb
moves from one key to another, whereas with the Chordite, your thumb
holds the keyboard and the other fingers simply move up and down; no
hunting for keys. Finally, the CyKey is an off-the-shelf product
whereas a Chordite (currently) must be custom ordered to fit your hand.
Posted [18:56] [Filed in:
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Ride starting Sun Sep 2 14:30:32 2007
4.91 km 16120.40 feet 3.05 mi
1597.00 seconds 26.62 minutes 0.44 hours 6.88 mi/hr
Very, very, very short ride today, just for completion. I had never ridden
on the Maple City Trail in Ogdensburg. It only goes up to the first bridge
over the Oswegatchie River, which is too bad, because the steel is still
there. It's lacking only a deck to allow the trail to continue. Oh, and
possibly legal access, since the !@#%$!$%!$ Lighthouse Point Corporation
sold off the railbed as individual parcels to adjoining landowners.

Posted [18:18] [Filed in:
bicycling]
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Sat, 01 Sep 2007
Free Chordites!
I need more experience building my Chordite keyboard. So,
I will build two custom keyboards for two Nokia Internet Tablet users who send me a letter
with a photocopy of their hand along with an explanation of why they
should get a free keyboard. Note that this keyboard only supports Linux, and it's only been tested for the Nokia N800. Send the letter to:
Free Chordite Offer
Crynwr Software
521 Pleasant Valley Rd.
Potsdam, NY 13676
Include your return shipping address, and email address so that I
may notify you of your acceptance. This offer closes September 10th,
so if your letter may take that long to get to me, send it
now. I considered doing this on a time priority basis, but I
want to get the keyboard to the people who want it the most, not the
people who happen to read it first. Plus, I need the hand scan no
matter what.
Posted [12:36] [Filed in:
770]
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Mark XII keyboard
This keyboard is finally salable. It has worthy
electronics which will give you a nice long battery life. It's
sturdy. It's replicable on a reasonable basis. Right now I'm still
building it on a custom basis, but I have some ideas for how to fit
people with different size hands.
Unfortunately, I haven't been able to get past the custom firmware
hurdle. I'm using a driver on the Linux side which pulls in seven
different keys and implements the chording algorithm. It works well
enough, but it's restrictive to need a driver. Can't sell into the
Windows or Mac market without modified firmware. Blue Packet has
offered to modify the firmware for a stiff price. Unfortunately, that
requires a larger committment than I can put forth given my current
lack of understanding about how to fit multiple people.
Plus, not only is the fit a problem, but everybody
(everybody, everybody) thinks it's hard to learn how to
use. It isn't, because the most common keystrokes are also the
easiest ones to make. Given the cheatsheet, you can type your name
within five minutes. It's really not that hard, but it's so
unfamiliar to people that it looks hard.
Here's the front of the keyboard, folded for pocketing. Notice
the classy 1/4" plywood and ground-off wood screws. This is for
strength. Relative to the stresses on the keyboard, the 1/4" plywood
is quite strong, and the hinges ensure that the wood meets up with a
hard stop at the limit of its extension.
With the keyboard unfolded for use, you can see the whole wood and
brass steampunk thing going on here. The previous keyboard fell apart
in several ways. This one won't, not even if you throw it into a soft
suitcase and take it on an international trip.
You can see how the upper piece of wood hangs off the knuckle of your first finger, and how your thumb rests on the top of the AAA battery box. The piece of wood at the bottom rests against the base of your palm, and provides one end of the lever that allows your finger knuckles to reliably press against the keys.
Here's how you grip the keyboard. The thumb only holds the keyboard. You press the keys with the knuckles of your four fingers.
Here's how it looks from the edge, or top, of your grip.
Posted [12:27] [Filed in:
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